2017/18 Best Bet strategy
It’s been a busy off season for us here at Footy Tipster and we are bringing you a comprehensive guide to betting this season based on the success we enjoyed last year. This blog doesn’t guarantee profit, but we aim for it. Last season we ended with a 20.41% yield, taking a battering in the unpredictable last few weeks of the season. We tracked the bets from December staking £2,210 and accumulating a £450 profit. We used level stakes of £10 per bet and placed a single bet on almost every Premier League fixture with average odds of 2.03. We plan to expand on that successful strategy and are hoping to take our strategy further.
We used £10 level stakes profit last season as it was a stake we were comfortable with. That’s still £100 worth of bets per week which may be very low for some bettors and unobtainable for others. As such we are switching from a level stakes system to a percentage of bank system. We recommend starting with a bank of £1,000. From this bank each bet we place will be 2% of the total bank, so the starting round of bets will be £20 per fixture. This is twice as much as last season, but still reasonable for a bank of that size. By using 2% you can adjust the staking pattern to your particular needs and the end result should be the same. We are looking to double that bank through the season, this will require a 10% (Profit / Stake) yield every week. This yield is half of what we achieved last season, but is still a decent return. We are hoping to under promise and over deliver.
When we post our tips we will use the best odds available, this is sourced via odds comparison sites. Many people use a single bookmaker to bet and that is a mistake, you will damage your profitability and miss out on offers. There is reason to stick to the better known bookmakers as they usually provide better customer service, but all those included on these comparison sites are well recognised. Odds vary from bookmaker to bookmaker and it can severely damage your hope for a return, as highlighted below:
BTTS – NO
If you take the Sporting Bet price of 19/20 a £20 stake would return £39 with a £19 profit.
If you take the Bet Victor (Best Price) of 6/5 a £20 stake would return £44 with a £24 profit.
When we extrapolate this difference to the 380 Premier League games, assuming a 50% win ratio the two outcomes would be as follows.
Sporting bet – £95 Loss
Bet Victor – £380 Profit
Two people placing the exact same bets over the season could have a £475 difference in their closing bank balance. It’s massive, these slight changes in odds stack up through-out the season and can turn a profitable season into a loss making one, by simply being too lazy to switch to the best odds. As such we STRONGLY recommend signing up to each of the bookmakers on the list. It takes about an hour to do them all, but you that hour could make you £475, probably our best ever paid job!
We must also consider free bets and offers with these bookmakers. Many of these offers are targeted at the average punter but when leveraged properly they can increase the potential profit with no increase in risk.
For example coral.co.uk offers a weekly £10 bet, when you bet at least £25 per week. If Coral has the best odds, or close to the best odds, then it would be a huge mistake to use a different bookmaker. By staking £50 per week with Coral and Skybet combined, we will accrue £15 in free bets every week. There are terms and conditions attached to these but these offers boost funds intermittently throughout the year.
Another example is the 2 goal lead promotion offered by both Bet365 and Paddy Power. If a team goes 2 goals ahead then a bet on the full time market will immediately become a winner. Games such as Arsenal Bournemouth would be an excellent example, where the long odds Cherries lost a 3 goal lead to draw 3-3.
These are just 2 examples of the flexibility different offers and different bookmakers offer. We will be looking to incorporate these offers into our betting system, and further highlight the need for multiple bookmakers. Sign up to the bookmakers below before you continue the season betting guide.